Confidence Interval for Difference Between Two Proportions

Use this calculator for confidence intervals comparing two population proportions (e.g., success rates between two groups).

When to Use

  • Two independent groups with binary outcomes
  • Large sample sizes where $n_1\hat{p}_1 \geq 5$, $n_1(1-\hat{p}_1) \geq 5$, etc.
  • Comparing proportions between two populations
  • Examples: Conversion rate A vs B, defect rate before vs after, approval rate male vs female

How to Use

Step 1: Enter sample 1 size and number of successes

Step 2: Enter sample 2 size and number of successes

Step 3: Select confidence level (typically 95%)

Step 4: Click “Calculate”

Confidence interval for Difference Between proportions
  Sample 1 Sample 2
Sample size
No. of successes
Confidence Level ($1-\alpha$)
Results
Sample proportions:
Standard Error of Diff. of prop.:
Z-critical value:
Margin of Error:
Lower Confidence Limits:
Upper Confidence Limits:

Formula

$$CI = (\hat{p}_1 - \hat{p}2) \pm z{\alpha/2} \times \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}_1(1-\hat{p}_1)}{n_1} + \frac{\hat{p}_2(1-\hat{p}_2)}{n_2}}$$

Where:

  • $\hat{p}_1 = k_1/n_1$, $\hat{p}_2 = k_2/n_2$ = sample proportions
  • $z_{\alpha/2}$ = z-critical value (1.96 for 95%)

Requirements

  1. Large samples: Both $n_i\hat{p}_i \geq 5$ and $n_i(1-\hat{p}_i) \geq 5$
  2. Random samples
  3. Independent groups - no overlap

Worked Example

Scenario: Website A: 245/500 users converted. Website B: 180/500 users converted.

Solution:

  • $\hat{p}_1 = 245/500 = 0.49$, $\hat{p}_2 = 180/500 = 0.36$
  • $SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.49×0.51}{500} + \frac{0.36×0.64}{500}} = 0.0310$
  • $E = 1.96 × 0.0310 = 0.0608$
  • $CI = 0.13 ± 0.0608 = [0.069, 0.191]$ or [6.9%, 19.1%]

Interpretation: Website A’s conversion rate is 6.9% to 19.1% higher than Website B with 95% confidence.


Related: Single Proportion CI, Tutorial